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Celebrity Marriages

March 28, 2012 by · Comments Off on Celebrity Marriages 

Celebrity Marriages, Prince William and Kate Middleton will stay married, but don’t necessarily bet on Tom Cruise and Katie Holmes managing the same thing – not according to an updated celebrity marriage formula.

Created in 2006 by scientist Garth Sudem, the Sundem/Tierney Unified Celebrity Theory is surprisingly accurate, the New York Times reported Tuesday.

The equation takes into account the “relative fame of the husband and wife, their ages, the length of their courtship, their marital history, and the sex-symbol factor (determined by looking at the woman’s first five Google hits and counting how many show her in skimpy attire, or no attire),” the Times says.

It correctly predicted the break-up of Demi Moore and Ashton Kutcher, Pamela Anderson and Kid Rock, and Britney Spears and Kevin Federline.

Next on the doomed list, the Times says, are Will Smith and Jada Pinkett. Although they’re still married, tabloid reports are filled with rumors of a split ahead of their December 15th anniversary.

John Tierney New York Times

March 28, 2012 by · Comments Off on John Tierney New York Times 

John Tierney New York Times, In 2006, New York Times columnist John Tierney published the equation above that was developed to calculate the probability that a celebrity couple would stay married.

The variables in the mathematical model included: the relative fame of the husband and wife, their ages, the length of their courtship, their marital history, and the sex-symbol factor (determined by looking at the woman’s first five Google hits and counting how many show her in skimpy attire, or no attire).

Now, with more than five years of follow-up data and empirical testing, John Tierney reported in yesterday’s New York Times that there is firm statistical support for the “Sundem/Tierney Unified Celebrity Theory.” For example:

“The 2006 equation correctly predicted doom for Demi Moore and Ashton Kutcher; Pamela Anderson and Kid Rock; and Britney Spears and Kevin Federline. It also forecast that Will Smith and Jada Pinkett would probably not make it to their 15th anniversary, in December 2012; so far, they’re still married, but gossip columns are rife with reports of a pending split.
On a happier note, the 2006 equation identified two couples with a good chance to make it to their fifth anniversary, in 2010: Ben Affleck and Jennifer Garner, and Matt Damon and Luciana Barroso. Sure enough, they made it (and are still married).” But now Tierney and his co-author Garth Sundem have updated and refined the celebrity marriage prediction formula, and believe it now has even greater predictive power.

John explains:
“Whereas the old equation measured fame by counting the millions of Google hits, the new equation uses a ratio of two other measures: the number of mentions in The Times divided by mentions in The National Enquirer.
“This is a major improvement in the equation,” Garth says. “It turns out that overall fame doesn’t matter as much as the flavor of the fame. It’s tabloid fame that dooms you. Sure, Katie Holmes had about 160 Enquirer hits, but she had more than twice as many NYT hits. A high NYT/ENQ ratio also explains why Chelsea Clinton and Kate Middleton have better chances than the Kardashian sisters.”

New York Times Divorce Formula

March 28, 2012 by · Comments Off on New York Times Divorce Formula 

New York Times Divorce Formula, It’s no surprise that the Hollywood set doesn’t have the best track record when it comes to “till death do us part.” It seems that a week doesn’t go by without a Tinseltown couple calling it quits, and the attendant media firestorm, desperate pleas for privacy and speculation as to who will walk away with what.

But with the odds stacked against them — according to the International Business Times, celebrity marriages have a 35 percent success rate — what if there was a formula that could calculate whether or not a couple was destined for “happily ever after,” before they were even married?

In 2006, the Sundem/Tierney Unified Celebrity Theory — a mathematical equation to determine the length of a celebrity marriage — was published. The equation, created by “Brain Trust” author Garth Sundem was based on a number of factors, including “the celebrities’ ages, the length of their courtship, their previous marital history, and their fame.” But when unions began crumpling far sooner than their predicted end dates (Kenny Chesney and Renee Zellweger were married for only 291 days while they had a 100 percent probability of making it through the year) or were still going strong after their calculated expirations (happily coupled Angelina Jolie and Brad Pitt’s predicted relationship success rate was less than 12 percent), the equation was revisited.

Now, instead of predicting marriage D-Days based on a variable of Google hits, the formula includes a figure that divides a celebrity’s New York Times mentions by the amount of times their name appears in The National Enquirer — a much needed-update that accounts for the ebb and flow of fame.

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