December 6, 2010 by staff
Steelers Ravens, NY Jets and New England Patriots will battle to fight for the division title. There will be many people who hesitate to go with NY in this game because Brady’s record at home is not a joke. He loves the spotlight and Joe Montana-esque in the clutch. However, before the season I predicted that this would be the year they fall from their perch as NY and take the division from them. Nothing I saw during the season has changed my mind that Sanchez has spent more time improving his game than eat hot dogs on the sidelines.
Most of their cons-season additions have improved the depth of this team and Revis will be healthy this time. However, instead of worrying about Moss, NY will have to deal with a decline in the short, ball control offense. The days of bombing the ball on the ground bleeding Brady went defenses to death by the readers of support. They average more than two TD is a set of discs long and this is reflected in their red zone high / low third offensive stats. BN is also one of the best teams in the league in turnover differential. Given all that you may be wondering why I dare to NY in this game. They are indeed 2-6 in their last 8 trips to Gillette Stadium, after all.
First, unlike many other handicappers, I do not put too much weight in the trends that go back several years. There are too many files and sales coaching to make relevant links to these trends and the game itself goes through changes too. I am more concerned about trends in current season and the way some games look. When you take a closer look at this game should have NY much of their own success keeping players and get points too. They also averaged 2 TD per game from 60 + yard drives this year and will have a big advantage on the ground on both sides of the ball. LT does not look as fresh as it did earlier this year that is one of the main reasons buttons Greene has increased over the last month, but together they form a nice one to two punch. They learn to run behind a stout offensive line and it continues to open up the passing game for Sanchez to find open receivers down the field. DO defense continues to struggle mightily on third down and red zone. NY continues to take too many penalties, but they play well enough to overcome this aggressive approach. It is the style that accepts and Rex Ryan will not change in their biggest game of the season. It will be a knockout, drag em out fight and I will enjoy as a fan. The line has been moved to -3 in many places, so if you can still find the hook to take it. It could be the difference in a match that could go to the wire.
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