Odds Of Being Struck By Lightning In A Given Year 1/500,000
January 19, 2012 by staff
Odds Of Being Struck By Lightning In A Given Year 1/500,000, What are my chances of being struck by lightning?
This is a seemingly simple question, but there is no single answer that fits everyone. The odds of being struck vary from person to person because they depend on several factors. The most significant are:
Geographical location and climatology
Diurnal and annual climatology
Where there is a lot of lightning, there is an increased chance of being struck. The central Florida peninsula from Tampa Bay to Cape Canaveral has the highest lightning concentration in the United States. More than 90% of the lightning in this area occurs between May and October, between the hours of noon and midnight.
During this time of day and year, people in Central Florida who spend a large portion of their lives outdoors (e.g. construction workers, park rangers, golfers, campers etc.) are more likely to be struck than anywhere else in the country. On the other hand, thunderstorms are uncommon in the Pacific northwest, and are virtually unheard of during the winter months. People in this region who spend much of their lives indoors (e.g. shopkeepers, librarians, bowlers, billiard players, etc.) might win the lottery before they were struck by lightning. It is impossible to assign one single probability to every person in every situation.
The general odds from the National Weather Service Lightning Safety site (http://www.lightningsafety.noaa.gov/medical.htm)…
Odds of Becoming a Lightning Victim
U.S. 2000 Census population as of 2008 300,000,000
Number of deaths actually reported: 60 Number of injuries reported: 340 (total) 400
Estimated number of actual U.S. deaths: 60 Estimated number of actual injuries: 540 (total) 600
Odds of being struck by lightning in a given year (reported deaths + injuries) 1/750,000
Odds of being struck by lightning in a given year (estimated total deaths + injuries) 1/500,000
Odds of being struck in your lifetime (Est. 80 years) 1/6250
Odds you will be affected by someone being struck (Ten people affected for every one struck) 1/625
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