Oakland Community College
November 9, 2010 by staff
Oakland Community College, Wait to see who will be the next mayor of Oakland (the final count was delayed for provisional ballots are counted), the results of the first experience of the city with the ranked-choice voting (RCV) are an interesting diversion.
Former Senator Don Perata held a lead until the City Councilmember Rebecca Kaplan was stunned. Its voters elected Councilmember Jean Quan City Perata more by a margin of 3-1, pushing her into the lead. Quan is currently ahead by fewer than 2,000 votes. With about 15,000 votes left to be added to the agreement, the race is neck and neck.
If you have not heard the explanation, in NA, if no candidate wins 50 percent plus one vote in the first round, it goes to a second round where the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and its votes second choices are distributed to the remaining candidates. The rounds continue until one candidate gets the 50 percent plus one vote. With 10 candidates running for mayor of Oakland, the process went to the ninth inning.
One of the transit times of political junkies during the campaign was to guess what would be the second choice to play. Everybody took about Perata and Quan, who had the most controversial contest, would not the second choice in their respective constituencies. It turned out that because they were the last two candidates, we do not know the choice of their constituents second.
As for Kaplan, people have speculated that because of its pro-business reputation, its voters could elect Perata as their second. Other speculators thought his constituents were more likely to fall into the “anyone but Perata” camp. With this margin of 3 to 1, the latter seems to be the case.
Before Kaplan, the previous candidate to file was Joe Tuman, a political science professor and politicalanlyst. Kaplan’s voters, giving him 4,361 votes, and were fairly evenly divided between Quan, with 2,818 votes, and Perata, with 2,724. Marcie Hodge, a member of the Peralta Community College, dropped out before Tuman; his constituents are distributed fairly evenly between Perata, 592, Quan, 562 and Kaplan 470.
The voters who chose other candidates split their vote’s fairly evenly second choice, with the exception of Don Macleay voters who overwhelmingly chose Quan. Macleay, a small business owner, was the Green candidate.
On another note, 10,664 ballots cast by 97,970 votes, just over 10 per cent did not include a second choice and were classified as “exhausted.”
Politicalanlysts are sure to comb the results, the elaboration of strategies for the next campaign. Oakland already broken the mold of the typical experiment in which VRC an advance of more than 4 points have rarely been overcome. Quan was 11 percentage points behind Perata before the second preference votes were counted. Leave Oakland.
The campaign strategists will refine YEAR. What opponent could be an ally of second choice? Opponents team-up to the court the votes of each other second choice? “Vote for me and I’ll set you free. And then vote for Jane Doe. ”
Some complained the process is too complicated or too long to come up with a winner. People will end up feeling they got a mayor second or third choice? Others think NA added depth to the election, giving an overview of how voters sort through information on candidates.
And Oaklanders who have been attracted to candidates less known, they were able to follow their heart and not worry that they had lost their right to vote.
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