Nfl Picks Week 1
September 8, 2010 by staff
Nfl Picks Week 1, Saints and Vikings begin the regular season the 2010 NFL on Thursday night in New Orleans. The game is a rematch of the championship game of the NFC, the Saints won in overtime, 31-28 on Garrett Hartley 40 yard field goal.
According to our NFL betting website, New Orleans opened its doors as a favorite 4 ½ points and some books are holding strong. Others have moved to the Saints 5 with Bodog list of saints at 6 points. For various reasons, I think this line has a huge value to the saints.
First, the saints are unfolding around 80%, which by now have pushed the line closer to 6 or 7 points in most sites. Bodog has been sensitive to public action, but most of the books have been reluctant to move the line much, anyway. This could be an indication that gamblers Vikes? see as more of a weaker field goal for a touchdown ‘dog.
But consider this – how have gamblers represented the loss of Sidney Rice? Not at all. And anyone who games last year Viking understands that Rice is Favre’s favorite target by far. Of course, Favre looks Visanthe Shiancoe, when near the goal line (only looked like Bubba Franks and Mark Chmura in Green Bay). But when you need big yards, Rice is the man. Furthermore, migraine has prevented Percy Harvin to get the representatives they need, and could limit its effectiveness Thursday night. Gamblers have not reflected the problems of Minnesota wide receiver in the betting lines. That means a good relationship Santos supporters.
Also working against the Vikings is their recent record. Minnesota has lost four of their last five regular season games on the road, each losing more than 6 points, with 3 of the 4 by a margin of 10 points or more. While Vikes? managed to win in Green Bay, his other three road wins – which came early – were against Cleveland, Detroit and St. Louis. Not exactly a murderer’s row. Now they have to travel back to the Superdome to take on the defending champions of the night to hoist the flag.
On the other hand, Adrian Peterson struggled a little last year. Sure, he got his yards and touchdowns. But did you know that in the regular season Peterson surpassed 100 yards in just three games? While one of the three games was at home against the Ravens, the other two were against Cleveland and Detroit. Moreover, Peterson fumbles cost the Vikings against the Saints in the championship game of the NFC. How has it affected your confidence? How will you answer that goes back to the scene of his failures?
Finally, Favre’s age, health and copies of all who come into play. The 40-year-old is playing in his twentieth season in the NFL with a recently surgically repaired ankle. And the Saints are the team responsible for injuring the ankle. By all accounts, the Saints will aim to Favre and ankle. If you can not do it through play, Tavaris Jackson has to take the reins of the crime – a thought that makes all Viking fans shudder.
However, the Vikings were playing better and significantly outgain the Saints in the title game of the NFC, 475-257 yards. In addition, Darren Sharper is, during the first six games of the season, which hurts the Saints secondary. If Peterson is able to set the tone with its powerful performance, if Favre can be kept clean access to the holy of the vicious, and if the Vikings front seven can dominate inside the Saints offense, Minnesota can win this game.
Ultimately, however, believe that the saints are good value bets with existing lines. The public is very hard to beat the Saints, and the line has not moved much. Sidney Rice is out with an injury, and the numbers did not budge. The problems have Vikes? road regular season. Peterson has to be more consistent, and Favre’s age and ankle are question marks. If the Saints can play anywhere close to 4 ½ points, which seems to be a solid game.
As always, the professionals at Maddux Sports has the NFL week 1 picks in the NFL. Be sure to sign up for a premium package includes a guaranteed return on investment in sport.
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