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Hurricane Irene Path

August 27, 2011 by USA Post 

Hurricane Irene PathHurricane Irene Path, At 0800h GMT cat’s-eye-2 Irene seemed to move ashore near Cape Lookout west of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina (NC). Winds of 115 mph were recorded in Cedar Island Ferry Terminal (NC) shortly after 0830 EDT.

Slowly weakening Hurricane takes most of today to cross the eastern portions of North Carolina and southeastern Virginia (VA), emerging again on the coast near Virginia Beach. Last guide suggests a track near the coast to northern New York (NYC) with some acceleration likely to begin late tonight and Sunday morning.

The eye of the storm can come through the eastern portions of the city of New York near JFK airport, or a little further east, around midday on Sunday, and then cross the Long Island Sound in west-central Connecticut (CT) and central Massachusetts (MA), before curving northeast on Monday night.

Concerns remain large inland flooding from heavy rains continuing, with a potential of 300 mm (12 inches) or more in some places. There will also be moderate if not severe storm surge flooding, especially around high tides, which tend to cluster near the time of local noon and midnight is near the new moon (but vary somewhat locally).

The current projected track will have the effect of moderate swell building during the approach of the storm then creating a gradual reduction in tidal levels near the track as it winds back to the northeast then northwest to the walking distance of downtown. This complex scenario, which means that some floods may develop, and the different regions to see floods from a different direction in the future. But the storm concentrated direct increase will probably be higher in the south-central coast of Long Island, in the next phase of the storm. However, the long duration of SE to NE winds could accumulate a large amount of water in Long Island Sound and there may be more problems for the New York region in the Atlantic.

The long duration of heavy rain has also led some observers to draw parallels with Floyd (September 1999), a hurricane flooding famous for its particularly severe impact on North Carolina. So far this storm appears slightly less extreme in that sense, but we have no doubt that some floods develop in parts of Virginia, Maryland (MD), Pennsylvania (PA) or New Jersey (NJ) and ground in some of these states is already quite saturated by heavy rains earlier this month.

Not all bad news with Irene, however – apparently, there have been wildfires in the country of swamp near NC-VA border and Hurricane surely takes care of that problem today.

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